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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
PL

Napoli
2 - 0
Parma

Elmas (32'), Politano (82')
Demme (71'), Elmas (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gagliolo (5'), Pezzella (31'), Conti (71'), Brugman (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 76.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 9.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
NapoliDrawParma
76.2%14.34%9.46%
Both teams to score 54.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.67%30.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.41%51.6%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.43%6.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.55%24.46%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.28%41.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.81%78.19%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 76.19%
    Parma 9.46%
    Draw 14.34%
NapoliDrawParma
2-0 @ 10.16%
3-0 @ 9.23%
2-1 @ 8.88%
3-1 @ 8.07%
1-0 @ 7.46%
4-0 @ 6.28%
4-1 @ 5.49%
3-2 @ 3.53%
5-0 @ 3.42%
5-1 @ 2.99%
4-2 @ 2.4%
6-0 @ 1.55%
6-1 @ 1.36%
5-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 76.19%
1-1 @ 6.52%
2-2 @ 3.88%
0-0 @ 2.74%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 14.34%
1-2 @ 2.85%
0-1 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.13%
0-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 9.46%

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