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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 5
May 8, 2021 at 6.30pm UK
Nissan Stadium
NE

Nashville
2 - 0
New England

Sapong (25'), Muyl (75')
Lovitz (28'), Godoy (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jones (57')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawNew England Revolution
43.04%26.17%30.79%
Both teams to score 52.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.94%52.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.21%73.79%
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99%24.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73%58.27%
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8%31.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46%67.54%
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 43.03%
    New England Revolution 30.79%
    Draw 26.17%
Nashville SCDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 8.88%
2-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.03%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.49%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 7.25%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 30.79%

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