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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 12
Jun 24, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Nissan Stadium
TF

Nashville
3 - 2
Toronto

Maher (62'), Haakenson (83', 90+2')
Godoy (32'), Muyl (41'), Haakenson (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Osorio (26'), Mullins (81')
Zavaleta (2'), Auro (53'), Bradley (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawToronto
49.15%26.1%24.75%
Both teams to score 48.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.85%55.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6%76.39%
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52%22.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.97%56.03%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.37%37.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.59%74.4%
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 49.14%
    Toronto 24.75%
    Draw 26.1%
Nashville SCDrawToronto
1-0 @ 12.62%
2-0 @ 9.42%
2-1 @ 9.21%
3-0 @ 4.69%
3-1 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 49.14%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 8.46%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.27%
1-2 @ 6.03%
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.47%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 24.75%

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