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European Championship | Quarter-Finals
Jul 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
TN

Netherlands
2 - 1
Turkey

de Vrij (70'), Muldur (76' og.)
Simons (30'), Ake (54'), van Dijk (64'), Weghorst (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Akaydin (35')
Tosun (90+3'), Montella (90+5')
Yildirim (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Romania 0-3 Netherlands
Tuesday, July 2 at 5pm in European Championship
All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Austria 1-2 Turkey
Tuesday, July 2 at 8pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Netherlands in this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawTurkey
52.49% (0.686 0.69) 23.28% (-0.125 -0.13) 24.23% (-0.562 -0.56)
Both teams to score 56.56% (-0.206 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (0.015999999999998 0.02)44.07% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.54% (0.014000000000003 0.01)66.46% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2% (0.254 0.25)16.8% (-0.255 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.24% (0.453 0.45)46.76% (-0.454 -0.45)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (-0.458 -0.46)32.03% (0.457 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.51% (-0.525 -0.52)68.49% (0.52300000000001 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 52.49%
    Turkey 24.23%
    Draw 23.27%
NetherlandsDrawTurkey
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.56% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.09% (0.125 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.075 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 52.49%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 24.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Romania 0-3 Netherlands
Tuesday, July 2 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 2-3 Austria
Tuesday, June 25 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 0-0 France
Friday, June 21 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Poland 1-2 Netherlands
Sunday, June 16 at 2pm in European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Iceland
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Canada
Thursday, June 6 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Austria 1-2 Turkey
Tuesday, July 2 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Czech Republic 1-2 Turkey
Wednesday, June 26 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Turkey 0-3 Portugal
Saturday, June 22 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Georgia
Tuesday, June 18 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Poland 2-1 Turkey
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Italy 0-0 Turkey
Tuesday, June 4 at 8pm in International Friendlies


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