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Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Mar 21, 2021 at 7.40am UK
Hunter Stadium
AU

Newcastle Jets
1 - 4
Adelaide United

Stamatelopoulos (69')
Ugarkovic (35'), Krasniqi (49'), Boogaard (51'), Najjarine (71')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Yengi (5'), Mauk (11'), Halloran (40'), Goodwin (43' pen.)
Yengi (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawAdelaide United
42.45%24.15%33.4%
Both teams to score 60.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.75%42.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.34%64.65%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9%20.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65%52.34%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3%24.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76%59.24%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 42.45%
    Adelaide United 33.4%
    Draw 24.14%
Newcastle JetsDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.94%
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 6.39%
3-1 @ 4.78%
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 42.45%
1-1 @ 11.13%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-1 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 3.63%
2-3 @ 2.91%
0-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.4%

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