Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.