SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 20.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.25%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 2-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Glenavon |
20.09% ( -0.13) | 21.46% ( -0.09) | 58.45% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.97% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.17% ( 0.23) | 40.82% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.79% ( 0.24) | 63.21% ( -0.24) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( 0.01) | 33.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.33% ( 0.01) | 70.66% ( -0.01) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.3% ( 0.14) | 13.69% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.08% ( 0.29) | 40.91% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 20.09% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 9.2% 1-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.27% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 58.45% |
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