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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Sep 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 6
New Saints

Sutton (74')
Roberts (23'), Evans (36'), Hughes (40')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Davies (10'), Bradley (40', 69'), Oteh (63'), McManus (81'), Bodenham (87')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Newtown
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-3 Bala Town
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 0-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
18.7% (-0.305 -0.31) 19.85% (-0.127 -0.13) 61.46% (0.44 0.44)
Both teams to score 60.27% (-0.118 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.64% (0.114 0.11)35.36% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.61% (0.125 0.13)57.4% (-0.117 -0.12)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.82% (-0.244 -0.24)32.18% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.34% (-0.278 -0.28)68.67% (0.286 0.29)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.87% (0.154 0.15)11.14% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.43% (0.32599999999999 0.33)35.58% (-0.319 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 18.7%
    The New Saints 61.46%
    Draw 19.85%
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 5.06% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-0 @ 4.06% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.3% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 18.7%
1-1 @ 8.92% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 8.63% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 7.16% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 6.32% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.06% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-4 @ 3.93% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 3.47% (0.064 0.06)
2-4 @ 2.23% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.73% (0.03 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.52% (0.037 0.04)
2-5 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 61.46%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Newtown
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 2-2 Newtown
Friday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 2-1 Cardiff MU
Friday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 1-0 Briton Ferry
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-0 Newtown
Friday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 1-2 Newtown
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-3 Bala Town
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-1 New Saints
Friday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 4-0 Barry
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-1 New Saints
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 0-0 Panevezys
Thursday, August 29 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League


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