Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 35.71%. A win for Niort had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.48%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Niort win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Caen in this match.
