Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 14.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.95%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.
