Following their shock defeat on the weekend, Norwich will be desperate to put League One Stevenage to the sword in the cup at Carrow Road on Tuesday.
The Boro have a history of recording giant killings in recent times, but we feel that the third-tier visitors will fall to defeat in East Anglia with little fuss.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
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