Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Stoke City
45.91%	28.68%	25.42%

Both teams to score 42.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.55%

63.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.21%

82.79%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23%

27.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.66%

63.34%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.3%

41.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.83%

78.17%

Score Analysis

Norwich City 45.9%

Stoke City 25.41%

Draw 28.66%

Norwich City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 14.83% 2-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 8.32% 3-0 @ 4.06% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.65% Total : 45.9%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.66%	0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 4.43% 1-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.18% Total : 25.41%