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NF
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
BC

Nott'm Forest
2 - 1
Bradford

Carvalho (39', 41')
Cafu (15')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cooke (54')
Cousin-Dawson (7')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawBradford City
39.51%27.57%32.91%
Both teams to score 48.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.06%56.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.15%77.85%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88%28.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2%63.8%
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78%32.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28%68.71%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 39.51%
    Bradford City 32.91%
    Draw 27.57%
Nottingham ForestDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 7.29%
3-1 @ 3.49%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 39.51%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 9.06%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 7.37%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.91%

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