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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 12, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Max-Morlock-Stadion
LL

Nuremberg
0 - 3
RB Leipzig


Valentini (43'), Geis (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Haidara (3'), Poulsen (68'), Hee-chan (90')
Halstenberg (58')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Nuremberg and RB Leipzig.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Nuremberg had a probability of 19.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.05%) and 0-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Nuremberg win it was 2-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
NurembergDrawRB Leipzig
19.85%21.1%59.05%
Both teams to score 57.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.52%39.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.18%61.81%
Nuremberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56%33.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93%70.07%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.92%13.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.32%39.67%
Score Analysis
    Nuremberg 19.85%
    RB Leipzig 59.05%
    Draw 21.1%
NurembergDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.34%
1-0 @ 4.79%
2-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 1.98%
3-1 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 19.85%
1-1 @ 9.74%
2-2 @ 5.43%
0-0 @ 4.37%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.1%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-2 @ 9.05%
0-1 @ 8.89%
1-3 @ 6.72%
0-3 @ 6.14%
2-3 @ 3.68%
1-4 @ 3.42%
0-4 @ 3.12%
2-4 @ 1.87%
1-5 @ 1.39%
0-5 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 59.05%


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