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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 1, 2020 at 11pm UK
Estadio Manuel Ferreira
S

Olimpia
2 - 3
Santos

Eduardo Recalde (22', 33')
Eduardo Recalde (39'), D (66'), Azcona (90+4'), Leguizamon (90+8')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Sanchez (14' pen.), Marinho (40'), Jorge (58')
Alex (3'), Jobson (49'), Raniel (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Olimpia and Santos.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Santos had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
OlimpiaDrawSantos
46.1%25.97%27.94%
Both teams to score 51.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.43%52.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77%74.23%
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23%22.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53%56.47%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42%33.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.78%70.22%
Score Analysis
    Olimpia 46.09%
    Santos 27.94%
    Draw 25.96%
OlimpiaDrawSantos
1-0 @ 11.31%
2-1 @ 9.13%
2-0 @ 8.37%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-0 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 46.09%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 8.35%
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 27.94%


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