SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 78.57%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 7.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.06%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
78.57% ( 0.18) | 14.01% ( -0.11) | 7.42% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.42% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.44% ( 0.25) | 36.55% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.3% ( 0.27) | 58.7% ( -0.27) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.53% ( 0.09) | 7.47% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.16% ( 0.24) | 26.84% ( -0.25) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.08% ( -0.01) | 50.91% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.72% ( -0.01) | 85.28% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 2-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.61% Total : 78.56% | 1-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.63% Total : 14.01% | 0-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 7.42% |
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