SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orenburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Baltika |
51.96% ( 0.04) | 25.18% ( 0.08) | 22.86% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.02% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.72% ( -0.41) | 53.28% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.17% ( -0.35) | 74.83% ( 0.35) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( -0.15) | 20.51% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47% ( -0.23) | 53% ( 0.23) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.67% ( -0.35) | 38.33% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.91% ( -0.33) | 75.09% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Baltika |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 51.95% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.55% Total : 22.86% |
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