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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 12
Jun 23, 2021 at 1.02am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
SJ

Orlando City
5 - 0
Earthquakes

Nani (7' pen.), Michel (16', 90'), Dike (31', 49')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Judson (25'), Alanis (52')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
48.39%21.43%30.18%
Both teams to score 68.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.61%30.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.34%51.66%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.77%13.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.02%39.98%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21%20.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55%53.45%
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 48.39%
    San Jose Earthquakes 30.18%
    Draw 21.43%
Orlando CityDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 5.96%
2-0 @ 5.63%
1-0 @ 5.56%
3-2 @ 4.68%
3-0 @ 3.8%
4-1 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-3 @ 1.24%
5-1 @ 1.22%
5-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 48.39%
1-1 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 6.94%
0-0 @ 2.75%
3-3 @ 2.45%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 21.43%
1-2 @ 6.86%
0-1 @ 4.32%
2-3 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 3.59%
0-2 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 1.78%
2-4 @ 1.43%
1-4 @ 1.41%
3-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.18%

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