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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 8
May 23, 2021 at 12am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
TF

Orlando City
1 - 0
Toronto

Akindele (12')
Akindele (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Soteldo (21'), Auro (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawToronto
45.4%23.88%30.71%
Both teams to score 59.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93%42.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52%64.48%
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.24%18.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.85%50.15%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75%26.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64%61.36%
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 45.4%
    Toronto 30.71%
    Draw 23.88%
Orlando CityDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 6.9%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 45.4%
1-1 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 7.37%
0-1 @ 6.59%
0-2 @ 4.4%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 30.71%

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