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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.04%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Peterborough United |
29.82% ( 0.09) | 22.65% ( 0.07) | 47.53% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 63.85% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.33% ( -0.31) | 36.67% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.17% ( -0.33) | 58.82% ( 0.33) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( -0.1) | 24.14% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.55% ( -0.14) | 58.44% ( 0.14) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.16% ( -0.17) | 15.84% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.97% ( -0.32) | 45.03% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.82% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.83% Total : 47.53% |
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