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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 22, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Palestra Italia

Palmeiras
5 - 0
Tigre

Veiga (34'), Gomez (54'), Rafael (66'), Veron (75'), Rony (81')
Vina (1'), Rafael (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Melivillo (24'), Alexis Leizza (31'), Kestler (74'), Cardozo (88')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palmeiras and Tigre.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawTigre
60.91%22.9%16.18%
Both teams to score 45.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.13%52.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.52%74.48%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03%16.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.93%47.06%
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.41%45.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.6%81.4%
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 60.91%
    Tigre 16.18%
    Draw 22.89%
PalmeirasDrawTigre
1-0 @ 13.72%
2-0 @ 12.17%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 5.65%
4-0 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.22%
5-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 60.91%
1-1 @ 10.77%
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 22.89%
0-1 @ 6.08%
1-2 @ 4.23%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.11%
2-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 16.18%


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