SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 72.45%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 9.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.3%) and 3-0 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
72.45% ( 0.05) | 17.61% ( -0.01) | 9.95% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.84% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% ( -0.03) | 44.87% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.78% ( -0.03) | 67.22% ( 0.03) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.03% ( 0) | 10.97% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.79% ( 0.01) | 35.21% ( -0.01) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.24% ( -0.09) | 50.76% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.82% ( -0.06) | 85.18% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 2-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.75% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.45% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 72.42% | 1-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 17.61% | 0-1 @ 3.78% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 9.95% |
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