SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Panevezys had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Panevezys win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panevezys | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
28.49% ( -0.55) | 25.12% ( -0.26) | 46.4% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.22% ( 0.79) | 48.78% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.12% ( 0.71) | 70.88% ( -0.71) |
| Panevezys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( 0) | 31.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.49% ( 0) | 67.51% |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% ( 0.69) | 21.05% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.15% ( 1.07) | 53.85% ( -1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panevezys | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.49% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.56% Total : 46.39% |
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