Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Paris FC had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Paris FC win it was 1-0 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
