SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Montrose |
50.51% ( 0.63) | 23.58% ( -0.11) | 25.91% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 57.31% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.11% ( 0.1) | 43.88% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.73% ( 0.1) | 66.27% ( -0.1) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.54% ( 0.28) | 17.45% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.07% ( 0.48) | 47.92% ( -0.48) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% ( -0.35) | 30.57% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.2% ( -0.41) | 66.79% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.81% Total : 50.51% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.91% |
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