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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 2, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella

Patronato
2 - 0
Aldosivi

Benitez (31'), Comas (90+3')
Leys (35'), Garcia (50'), Nievas (71'), Gudino (84'), Canto (87'), Comas (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Milo (41'), Indacoechea (52')
Milo (78'), Indacoechea (84')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Patronato and Aldosivi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 35.69%. A win for Aldosivi had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Aldosivi win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Patronato would win this match.

Result
PatronatoDrawAldosivi
35.69%29.21%35.1%
Both teams to score 44.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.47%62.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.88%82.12%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75%33.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14%69.86%
Aldosivi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36%33.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71%70.29%
Score Analysis
    Patronato 35.69%
    Aldosivi 35.09%
    Draw 29.19%
PatronatoDrawAldosivi
1-0 @ 12.31%
2-1 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 35.69%
1-1 @ 13.41%
0-0 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.19%
0-1 @ 12.18%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-2 @ 6.64%
1-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 35.09%

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