Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Central Cordoba win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Patronato in this match.
