SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
68.96% ( -0.31) | 17.64% ( 0.15) | 13.4% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.5% ( -0.35) | 35.49% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.46% ( -0.39) | 57.54% ( 0.39) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.67% ( -0.17) | 9.32% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.55% ( -0.39) | 31.44% ( 0.39) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.32% ( -0.01) | 38.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.58% | 75.42% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 2-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.48% Total : 68.96% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.64% | 1-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 13.4% |
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