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Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
May 19, 2021 at 12.20pm UK
Perth Oval
AU

Perth Glory
2 - 1
Adelaide United

Fornaroli (78'), Ikonomidis (86')
Chianese (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yengi (28')
Juande (71'), D'Arrigo (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.55%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Perth Glory in this match.

Result
Perth GloryDrawAdelaide United
45.24%21.94%32.81%
Both teams to score 68.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.39%31.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.89%53.11%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.27%14.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.06%42.94%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.02%19.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.84%52.16%
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 45.24%
    Adelaide United 32.81%
    Draw 21.94%
Perth GloryDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.69%
1-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 5.55%
2-0 @ 5.4%
3-2 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 3.45%
4-1 @ 2.66%
4-2 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 1.65%
4-3 @ 1.15%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 45.24%
1-1 @ 9.08%
2-2 @ 7%
0-0 @ 2.94%
3-3 @ 2.4%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.94%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-1 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 3.92%
0-2 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 3.76%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.58%
2-4 @ 1.51%
3-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 32.81%

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