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League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
RL

Peterborough
3 - 3
Rotherham

Dornelly (17'), Rafferty (51' og.), Fernandez (53')
Wallin (22'), Dornelly (32'), Randall (48')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Nombe (19'), Wilks (23'), Clarke-Harris (45+1')
Evans (23'), Wilks (35')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Peterborough United 2-2 Rotherham United

Peterborough have won each of their last three competitive home matches, but we think that run of victories will be halted by a rejuvenated Rotherham side who we feel will do enough to take a useful point from Saturday's tricky away fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawRotherham United
44.12% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 24.32% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 31.56% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.28% (0.051000000000002 0.05)43.73% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.89% (0.050000000000004 0.05)66.11% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03% (0.064000000000007 0.06)19.97% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.86% (0.101 0.1)52.14% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)26.53% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)61.73% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 44.12%
    Rotherham United 31.56%
    Draw 24.32%
Peterborough UnitedDrawRotherham United
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 44.12%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.32%
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 31.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 3-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 3-2 Peterborough
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-2 Peterborough
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 3-1 Newcastle U21s
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Birmingham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One


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