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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 21
Oct 25, 2020 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
TF

Philadelphia
5 - 0
Toronto

Santos (27', 63', 68'), McKenzie (33'), Monteiro (55')
Monteiro (9'), Blake (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Auro (10'), Mullins (73')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Toronto.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
38.28%26.1%35.62%
Both teams to score 53.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.34%50.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.44%72.57%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14%25.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.16%60.84%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61%27.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14%62.86%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 38.28%
    Toronto 35.62%
    Draw 26.1%
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
1-0 @ 9.58%
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 6.48%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 38.28%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.08%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 5.94%
1-3 @ 3.47%
0-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 35.62%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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