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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 21
Aug 5, 2021 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
TF

Philadelphia
3 - 0
Toronto

Glesnes (12'), Gazdag (33' pen.), Santos (36')
Glesnes (26'), Wagner (47'), Mbaizo (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
59.09%22.68%18.23%
Both teams to score 49.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14%48.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04%70.96%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81%16.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.33%45.67%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.33%40.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.74%77.26%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 59.08%
    Toronto 18.23%
    Draw 22.67%
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
1-0 @ 11.98%
2-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 6.63%
3-1 @ 5.96%
4-0 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-2 @ 1.22%
5-0 @ 1.1%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 59.08%
1-1 @ 10.78%
0-0 @ 6.58%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 22.67%
0-1 @ 5.92%
1-2 @ 4.85%
0-2 @ 2.67%
1-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 18.23%

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