Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 47.68%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Platense had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Platense win it was 1-0 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
