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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 10, 2021 at 1am UK
 
SL

Platense
2 - 4
San Lorenzo

Curuchet (25'), Bogado (45+2' pen.)
Bogado (40'), Recalde (89')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Gattoni (13'), Sabella (30'), Rojas (75'), Troyansky (84')
Romero (28'), Peruzzi (40'), Gattoni (70'), Rojas (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Platense and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Platense had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Platense win was 1-0 (11.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.

Result
PlatenseDrawSan Lorenzo
32.32%29.2%38.48%
Both teams to score 43.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.25%62.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.72%82.28%
Platense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.3%35.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.53%72.47%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41%31.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32%68%
Score Analysis
    Platense 32.31%
    San Lorenzo 38.48%
    Draw 29.19%
PlatenseDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 11.61%
2-1 @ 6.89%
2-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-0 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 32.31%
1-1 @ 13.38%
0-0 @ 11.27%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.19%
0-1 @ 12.99%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 7.49%
1-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 38.48%

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