MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 21:02:12
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Thursday, March 28
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PN
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 14, 2021 at 5pm UK
National Stadium
SN

Poland
1 - 2
Slovakia

Linetty (46')
Krychowiak (22')
Krychowiak (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Szczesny (18' og.), Skriniar (69')
Hubocan (20')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Slovakia had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Slovakia win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
PolandDrawSlovakia
43.88%25.77%30.35%
Both teams to score 53.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.44%50.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52%72.48%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05%22.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.27%56.73%
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26%30.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99%67.01%
Score Analysis
    Poland 43.88%
    Slovakia 30.35%
    Draw 25.76%
PolandDrawSlovakia
1-0 @ 10.38%
2-1 @ 9.01%
2-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-0 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.88%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.06%
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.32%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 4.91%
1-3 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.35%

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