SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Turkey win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Poland | Draw | Turkey |
57.7% ( -0.14) | 22.52% ( 0.05) | 19.78% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% ( -0.08) | 45.98% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( -0.08) | 68.29% ( 0.08) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.34% ( -0.07) | 15.66% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.3% ( -0.14) | 44.7% ( 0.14) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.72% ( 0.05) | 37.28% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.94% ( 0.05) | 74.06% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Poland | Draw | Turkey |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 57.69% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 19.78% |
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