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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Jan 18, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal
B

Portimonense
1 - 0
Belenenses

Dener (17')
Ewerton (18'), Antonio (38'), Oliveira (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Henrique (10'), Sithole (35')
Henrique (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 47.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawBelenenses
47.44%27.37%25.18%
Both teams to score 45.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.61%59.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.23%79.77%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89%25.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19%59.81%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.39%39.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.71%76.29%
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 47.44%
    Belenenses 25.18%
    Draw 27.37%
PortimonenseDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 13.74%
2-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 8.8%
3-0 @ 4.37%
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.51%
4-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.44%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.95%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 5.9%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 25.18%

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