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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 23
Oct 29, 2020 at 2am UK
Providence Park
LG

Portland
5 - 2
LA Galaxy

Niezgoda (6', 19'), Valeri (30' pen.), Williamson (60'), Joya (74')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Pavon (46', 90+1')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Los Angeles Galaxy.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
44.91%22.86%32.23%
Both teams to score 64.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.57%36.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.43%58.57%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28%16.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.37%46.63%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41%22.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8%56.2%
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 44.91%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 32.23%
    Draw 22.86%
Portland TimbersDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 8.99%
1-0 @ 6.76%
2-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 5.36%
3-2 @ 3.99%
3-0 @ 3.6%
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-2 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.61%
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 44.91%
1-1 @ 10.05%
2-2 @ 6.69%
0-0 @ 3.78%
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-1 @ 5.62%
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 3.31%
0-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 1.38%
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 32.23%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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