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League One | Gameweek 5
Oct 10, 2020 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
MD

Portsmouth
2 - 1
MK Dons

Naylor (2'), Harrison (23' pen.)
Naylor (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fraser (12' pen.)
Lewington (68'), Jerome (77')
Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawMK Dons
50.48%24.74%24.78%
Both teams to score 52.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17%49.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17%71.83%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25%19.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.22%51.78%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.31%34.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.58%71.41%
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 50.48%
    MK Dons 24.78%
    Draw 24.74%
PortsmouthDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 11.11%
2-1 @ 9.54%
2-0 @ 9.01%
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-0 @ 4.87%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 50.48%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.85%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.74%
0-1 @ 7.25%
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 3.84%
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 24.78%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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