Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Derby County
32.71%	27.88%	39.4%

Both teams to score 47.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.87%

58.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.21%

78.79%

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03%

32.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44%

69.56%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.25%

28.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.4%

64.59%

Score Analysis

Preston North End 32.7%

Derby County 39.4%

Draw 27.88%

Preston North End	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.7%	1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.88%	0-1 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-2 @ 7.36% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.06% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.7% Total : 39.4%