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Europa League | First Qualifying Round
Aug 26, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Stade Parc des Sports

Niederkorn
3 - 0
Zeta

Waldemar Tekiela (11', 55' pen.), Thill (90+2')
Holtz (34'), Laterza (38'), Habbas (48'), Latic (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dinovic (38'), Tuzovic (40'), Vukcevic (70')
Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Progres Niederkorn and FK Zeta.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zeta win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Progres Niederkorn had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zeta win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Progres Niederkorn win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Progres NiederkornDrawFK Zeta
29.02%25.49%45.48%
Both teams to score 53.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.94%50.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97%72.03%
Progres Niederkorn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56%31.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18%67.81%
FK Zeta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01%21.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7%55.29%
Score Analysis
    Progres Niederkorn 29.02%
    FK Zeta 45.48%
    Draw 25.49%
Progres NiederkornDrawFK Zeta
1-0 @ 8%
2-1 @ 7.01%
2-0 @ 4.63%
3-1 @ 2.7%
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 29.02%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 9.18%
0-2 @ 7.93%
1-3 @ 4.63%
0-3 @ 4%
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 45.48%


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