Progreso
2 - 0
Cerro

Silva (25'), Jara (44')
Gottesman (58')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Paiva (41'), Tancredi (75'), Filgueira (79'), (90+4')
Filgueira (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Cerro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Cerro
38.94%	27.82%	33.23%

Both teams to score 48.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.18%

57.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.45%

78.54%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.13%

28.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.26%

64.73%

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.55%

32.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.02%

68.97%

Score Analysis

Progreso 38.93%

Cerro 33.23%

Draw 27.81%

Progreso	Draw	Cerro
1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.69% Total : 38.93%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.81%	0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.23%