SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Brest had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
67.68% ( -0.04) | 17.97% ( 0.04) | 14.35% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 57.11% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.16% ( -0.19) | 34.84% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.19% ( -0.21) | 56.81% ( 0.21) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.55% ( -0.06) | 9.45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.25% ( -0.14) | 31.74% ( 0.14) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% ( -0.12) | 36.93% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.28% ( -0.12) | 73.71% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
| 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.51% Total : 67.68% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.97% | 1-2 @ 4.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 14.35% |
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