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P
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Philips Stadium
HA

PSV
3 - 0
Heracles

Malen (9'), Dumfries (21'), Ihattaren (90+2')
Zahavi (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Quagliata (71'), Propper (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 69.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 12.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawHeracles
69.79%18.17%12.04%
Both teams to score 49.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.45%41.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.05%63.95%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.25%10.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.28%34.72%
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.26%44.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.27%80.73%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 69.78%
    Heracles 12.04%
    Draw 18.17%
PSV EindhovenDrawHeracles
2-0 @ 11.96%
1-0 @ 10.72%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 8.9%
3-1 @ 7.15%
4-0 @ 4.96%
4-1 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 2.88%
5-0 @ 2.21%
5-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 69.78%
1-1 @ 8.63%
0-0 @ 4.81%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 18.17%
0-1 @ 3.87%
1-2 @ 3.47%
0-2 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.04%
1-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 12.04%

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