Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.
