Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruz Azul in this match.
