SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Stoke City |
34.38% ( 0.09) | 25.63% ( 0.12) | 39.98% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 55.24% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.23% ( -0.5) | 48.77% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.12% ( -0.45) | 70.87% ( 0.45) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( -0.18) | 27.22% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.36% ( -0.24) | 62.64% ( 0.24) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( -0.33) | 24.09% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.61% ( -0.47) | 58.38% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.38% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.98% |
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