SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
50.96% ( 0.16) | 23.12% ( -0.06) | 25.92% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.89% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.19% ( 0.16) | 41.8% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.79% ( 0.17) | 64.2% ( -0.17) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% ( 0.12) | 16.51% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.74% ( 0.21) | 46.25% ( -0.21) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( 0) | 29.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.53% ( 0.01) | 65.46% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 50.96% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 25.92% |
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