Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tigres in this match.
