SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Elche |
30.79% ( 0.73) | 28.47% ( 0.7) | 40.73% ( -1.44) |
| Both teams to score 45.54% ( -1.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.38% ( -2.23) | 60.62% ( 2.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.29% ( -1.72) | 80.71% ( 1.71) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% ( -0.65) | 35.67% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.55% ( -0.67) | 72.44% ( 0.67) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.79% ( -1.87) | 29.2% ( 1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.85% ( -2.36) | 65.14% ( 2.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.03% Total : 30.79% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.84)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.45% | 0-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.56% Total : 40.73% |
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